United States 2026 World Cup Win Probability
live prediction market forecasts for united states based on real-time kalshi and polymarket data. updated hourly.
📊 United States Market Brief
The United States is priced as a high-variance team with matchup-driven upside rather than sustained title momentum. The market respects athletic potential but remains cautious at the futures level.
There aren't significant recent injury headlines tied to the USMNT's core contributors as of early January, so sentiment is driven more by tactical perception and performance than fitness changes.
Key Stats
3%
Current Probability
0%
30-Day Change
#T-10
Current Rank
What's Driving United States's Odds
The host nation's blend of young talent and growing international experience enhances World Cup prospects, led by
Christian Pulisic.Home advantage and supportive crowds amplify confidence and tactical freedom.
Consistency against elite nations will determine how deep they can go.
United States vs Other Top Contenders
Related World Cup Markets
United States World Cup FAQs
No. The United States has never won the World Cup.
Quarterfinals in 2002.
Athleticism and growing development systems.