Germany 2026 World Cup Win Probability
live prediction market forecasts for germany based on real-time kalshi and polymarket data. updated hourly.
📊 Germany Market Brief
Germany's odds reflect cautious optimism, acknowledging both the talent level and the volatility within recent cycles. The market respects Germany's baseline quality, but conviction has not steepened.
On the injury front, there haven't been fresh, widely reported fitness concerns around key starters in the last month, a sign that Germany's stability may be partly responsible for the market's steady rather than directional pricing.
Key Stats
6%
Current Probability
-1%
30-Day Change
#7
Current Rank
What's Driving Germany's Odds
Germany's historical consistency and strong youth integration help maintain solid World Cup hopes, with Jamal Musiala central to their attacking creativity.
Recent group stage exits have tempered expectations, making tactical discipline and mental reset crucial.
A balanced squad with emerging midfield control offers pathways for deeper runs if momentum builds.
Germany vs Other Top Contenders
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Germany World Cup FAQs
Germany has won four World Cups (1954, 1974, 1990, 2014).
Consistency, tactical discipline, efficiency.
Franz Beckenbauer, Miroslav Klose, Manuel Neuer.