Patriots vs. Bears Passing Props and Touchdown Pick

Segment Spotlight: Quick Hits From Game Time Decisions

Passing Overs and a Sneaky Bears Touchdown Pick

With both teams defending the run well, the passing game could take center stage. The Patriots were also expected to have three regular offensive linemen out, making pass blocking a more manageable assignment for the backups than trying to control defenders in the running game.

The preferred plays are the over on passing yards for both quarterbacks. Caleb Williams was listed at 241.5 passing yards, while Drake May was around 246 to 247.5. Their passing-attempt totals were also around 31.5 to 32.5, with both coaches expected to lean away from the run.

New England could use plenty of short passes because of its offensive line situation. That anticipated volume also supports the possibility of a higher-scoring game. While an initial estimate for the total would have been around 44 or 45, the posted number was 50.5 and even higher at one book. Defensive touchdowns, special teams plays or another unusual development could help push the score upward.

Christian Gonzalez was reportedly sick and questionable at the time of the discussion. His absence would be significant for the Patriots, although similar late reports often end with the player participating. The inactive list was expected to provide clarity before the game.

The sneaky anytime-touchdown option is Roshawn Johnson, who scored last week and remains the backup to D’Andre Swift. Near the goal line, Chicago has tended to rely on its running backs rather than Caleb Williams running or throwing the ball into the end zone.

The approach resembles the shared backfield model used by Ben Johnson with Gibbs and Montgomery in Detroit. If the game approaches its high projected total, Chicago could score multiple rushing touchdowns, creating an opportunity for Johnson to get one alongside Swift.

Johnson was priced at +230, while Swift was -160. Although Johnson’s role makes the pick reasonable, the +230 return still feels limited for a backup who needs to claim one of Chicago’s expected touchdowns.