College Basketball Best Bets: Expert Picks for Tonight, Feb. 10

David Connelly
Host · Writer
SportsGrid Expert Pick: Over 147.5 (-115)
Where to Watch Purdue vs. Nebraska
- SportsGrid Matchup Page: PUR vs. NEB
- Arena: Pinnacle Bank Arena
- Location: Lincoln, NE
- Where to Watch: FS1
- Date: Tuesday, February 10th
- Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Purdue vs. Nebraska Betting Odds & Market Value
| Betting Market | Purdue | Nebraska |
| Moneyline | +112 | -134 |
| Spread | +1.5 (-106) | -1.5 (-114) |
| Total (O/U 147.5) | Over -115 | Under -105 |
Purdue vs. Nebraska Win Probability & Prediction Market Trends
| Market Metric (Kalshi) | Purdue | Nebraska |
| Direct Win Probability | 44% | 56% |
| Cover Spread Nebraska -1.5 | Yes: 54¢ | No: 48¢ |
| Total Over 148.5 Points | Yes: 51¢ | No: 52¢ |
Real-time market data via Kalshi Prediction Exchange
This should be one of the best matchups that the Big Ten has to offer this season. Both ranked in the top 15 on KenPom, Purdue and Nebraska are among the most exciting offenses in the sport right now. Both teams obsess over ball movement and work it until they find the open man. They each sit inside the top ten nationally in assist-to-field-goal ratio, each team converting an assist on nearly two-thirds of their made shots on the season. It creates a complete nightmare for opposing defenses, and it’s led to some efficient performances.
These two programs have combined for a remarkable 28 games out of 46 in which they have eclipsed 80 points, putting us in a prime position for a potential shootout on Tuesday night. Back this surprisingly low total and expect both offenses to be humming out of the gate here.
SportsGrid Expert Pick: Air Force +16.5 (-120)
Where to Watch Colorado State vs. Air Force
- SportsGrid Matchup Page: CSU vs. AF
- Arena: Clune Arena
- Location: Colorado Springs, CO
- Where to Watch: MW Network
- Date: Tuesday, February 10th
- Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Colorado State vs. Air Force Betting Odds & Market Value
| Betting Market | Colorado State | Air Force |
| Moneyline | -2300 | +1060 |
| Spread | -16.5 (-102) | +16.5 (-120) |
| Total (O/U 134.5) | Over -110 | Under -110 |
Colorado State vs. Air Force Win Probability & Prediction Market Trends
| Market Metric (Kalshi) | Colorado State | Air Force |
| Direct Win Probability | 92% | 8% |
| Cover Spread Colorado State -17.5 | Yes: 46¢ | No: 57¢ |
| Total 134.5 Points | Yes: 53¢ | No: 49¢ |
Real-time market data via Kalshi Prediction Exchange
You’re going to want to hold your nose for this one. While Air Force has been a complete no-show in the Mountain West this season at 0-12 in conference play, this is more of a fade of Colorado State than anything else. Outside of a road win over Grand Canyon back in early January, the Rams have been lackluster away from home all season. They are just 2-5 in true road games this season, dropping each of their previous four.
They also sneakily possess a defense that ranks just ninth in the Mountain West, as well as play a slower tempo that should allow Air Force some time to keep things within the number. KenPom has this line projected at 12, and 15.5 feels like too many points to lay with a team that has been shaky at best on the road for most of the season. Take the ugly dog and the points here.
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