Who Will Win Super Bowl LX MVP? Ranking the Top 10 NFL Contenders

Here is a deep dive into the top 10 players favored to take home the Super Bowl LX MVP award based on the latest betting market data and their dominant 2025-26 performances.

1. Sam Darnold, QB | Seattle Seahawks (+250)

Sam Darnold has redefined his career with the Seattle Seahawks, entering Championship Weekend as the betting favorite to win Super Bowl MVP.

MVP Resurgence: Darnold finished the regular season among the league leaders in passer rating (116.0) and yards per attempt (9.65).
Efficiency Leader: He completed 71.1% of his passes for 2,262 yards and 17 touchdowns through his first nine appearances, leading an explosive Seattle offense.
The “QB Advantage": Market context favors him as the signal-caller for the current Super Bowl favorite; historically, quarterbacks have won five of the last six Super Bowl MVPs.

Previous Week’s Super Bowl MVP Odds: +490 –> This Week’s Odds: +250

NFC Championship Opponent: vs Los Angeles Rams

2. Matthew Stafford, QB | Los Angeles Rams (+290)

At 37, Matthew Stafford is arguably playing the best football of his 17-year career.

Statistical Powerhouse: Stafford led the NFL with 46 touchdown passes and 4,707 passing yards in 2025.
Postseason Mastery: He holds a surgical 101.9 career passer rating in the postseason with the Los Angeles Rams, proving his ability to overwhelm defenses in high-stakes moments.
Elite Precision: He set a league record with 28 consecutive touchdown passes without an interception earlier this season.

Previous Week’s Super Bowl MVP Odds: +430 –> This Week’s Odds: +290

NFC Championship Opponent: at Seattle Seahawks

3. Drake Maye, QB | New England Patriots (+310)

Drake Maye has rapidly ascended the MVP board following a breakout second season that saw the New England Patriots return to the AFC Championship.

Efficiency Cheat Code: Maye led the league in completion percentage (72.0%), passer rating (113.5), and total QBR (77.1).
Deep Ball Accuracy: He completed 52.1% of his deep attempts (20+ air yards), producing one of the highest expected points outputs of the NextGen era.
Clutch Performer: Analysts highlight his poise and ability to elevate a supporting cast into one of the league’s top-five scoring offenses.

Previous Week’s Super Bowl MVP Odds: +750 –> This Week’s Odds: +310

AFC Championship Opponent: at Denver Broncos

4. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR | Seattle Seahawks (+1400)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has emerged as one of the top three wide receivers in the NFL, serving as the primary engine of the Seahawks’ passing game.

Record Pace: He led the NFL with 1,793 receiving yards and 119 receptions during the regular season.
Volume Target: His 1,200-yard lead over the next closest teammate demonstrates how heavily Seattle funnels its offense through him.

Previous Week’s Super Bowl MVP Odds: +1700 –> This Week’s Odds: +1400

NFC Championship Opponent: vs Los Angeles Rams

5. Puka Nacua, WR | Los Angeles Rams (+1700)

Puka Nacua remains a physically dominant mismatch and Matthew Stafford’s favorite target.

League Leader: Nacua led the NFL in receptions for 2025 and averaged a league-best 107.2 receiving yards per game.
Stafford Connection: Historically, Stafford’s WR1s (like Cooper Kupp) have found immense success, with Kupp taking home this very award in 2021.

Previous Week’s Super Bowl MVP Odds: +2200 –> This Week’s Odds: +1700

NFC Championship Opponent: at Seattle Seahawks

6. Kenneth Walker III, RB | Seattle Seahawks (+1700)

Despite the heavy focus on the passing game, Kenneth Walker III provides the ground-and-pound threat that balances Seattle’s attack.

Consistency: Market odds place him alongside Nacua as a high-tier non-QB option if Seattle’s run game dominates the Super Bowl script.

Previous Week’s Super Bowl MVP Odds: +4000 –> This Week’s Odds: +1700

NFC Championship Opponent: vs Los Angeles Rams

7. Jarrett Stidham, QB | Denver Broncos (+1900)

Jarrett Stidham is the “wildcard" of the MVP board, generating intrigue despite not having thrown a regular-season pass in two years.

Team Context: His presence on the list is driven by Denver’s status as the AFC’s high-seed contender; should the Broncos advance, the winning quarterback remains the most likely MVP recipient. Sorry, Philip Rivers false rumors followers.

Previous Week’s Super Bowl MVP Odds: OTB –> This Week’s Odds: +1900

AFC Championship Opponent: vs New England Patriots

8. Davante Adams, WR | Los Angeles Rams (+4500)

Davante Adams provides the Rams with an elite secondary target whose odds reflect high-leverage scoring potential.

Redzone Threat: Known for his touchdown-scoring ability, Adams remains a favorite for bettors looking for value outside of the primary QB/WR1 favorites.

Previous Week’s Super Bowl MVP Odds: +6000 –> This Week’s Odds: +4500

NFC Championship Opponent: at Seattle Seahawks

9. Rhamondre Stevenson, RB | New England Patriots (+4500)

Rhamondre Stevenson anchors the Patriots’ ground attack, which remains a core component of their ball-control strategy.

Volume Value: While no running back has won Super Bowl MVP since 1998, Stevenson’s role in the AFC’s 5th-best scoring offense makes him a logical longshot if he finds the endzone multiple times.

Previous Week’s Super Bowl MVP Odds: +12500 –> This Week’s Odds: +4500

AFC Championship Opponent: at Denver Broncos