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NCAAF · 17 minutes ago

Texas vs. LSU Betting Preview: Tigers Favored at Home

Texas vs. LSU Betting Preview: Tigers Favored at Home

Segment Spotlight: Quick Hits From The Bobby Carpenter Show

LSU’s Desperation Spot Against Texas Points to a Saturday Night Win

LSU enters its home game against Texas at 6-3 and badly needing a win before traveling to Tennessee. The Tigers are favored by four points in Death Valley, while the total has fallen considerably from 54.5 to 46.5.

The matchup resembles other high-pressure games this season. Texas faced similar scrutiny before delivering against Ole Miss, while Notre Dame entered its game against Miami knowing it had to win. LSU now finds itself in that type of must-win situation after getting beaten by Alabama.

Fans in Baton Rouge were thrilled to bring in Lane Kiffin and move on from Brian Kelly, but a 6-3 record has increased the pressure. Texas also wants to continue improving its resume, but LSU has the added urgency of playing at night with its back against the wall.

Despite the result against Alabama, LSU outgained the Crimson Tide 457-285. The Tigers failed on four fourth-down attempts and finished minus-two in turnover margin. If LSU can clean up those mistakes, it should be able to take care of business against Texas.

The movement in the point spread also supports LSU. Rather than dropping toward three points, the line has moved upward. LSU at 3.5 points is the preferred play, with the expectation that the Tigers secure a significant Saturday night win in Baton Rouge.

Taking LSU on the money line is also a reasonable option for anyone expecting a close game decided by a field goal. Money-line wagers are more expensive, but they remove the risk of unusual late-game scoring affecting the point spread. The choice ultimately depends on the bettor’s bankroll and preferred level of risk.