Warriors vs. Rockets Game Preview: Live NBA Prediction, Odds & Picks

🟢Last updated Mar 5, 2026 at 5:08 PM EST•Next update in: 2 minutes from now

Warriors vs. Rockets preview (Mar 5). Updated every 15 minutes with Kalshi odds (Rockets -9.5), Jabari Smith props & Amen Thompson's status (Questionable - Ankle).

Today's Data Snapshot

Today's Data Snapshot
Market Source:	Kalshi Live Odds
Primary Prediction:	Warriors +9.5, Warriors +317, Total O 214.5
Key Pick:	Jabari Smith Over 14.5 Points
Injury Impact:	Amen Thompson (Questionable - Ankle)
Data Freshness:	12m ago (5:08 PM EST)

Golden State Warriors

31-30

Mar 57:30 PM

Amazon Prime Video

Houston Rockets

38-22

Houston Rockets

38-22

GAME PREDICTIONS

Insights provided by the SportsGrid betting model

PREDICTED GAME OUTCOME

Rockets win by

8.0 Pts

CHANCE TO WIN

27%

73%

Model Picks

Warriors

Warriors +9.5

Warriors

Warriors +317

Total

Total O 214.5

Insights provided by the SportsGrid betting model

LATEST INJURY STATUS

Warriors INJURIES

Jimmy Butler III

Out For Season

Butler's injury from Monday (Jan. 19) Night's game involves a torn right ACL and he will be out for the rest of the season, as per Shams Charania of ESPN.

Stephen Curry

Out

The Warriors reported Stephen Curry to miss at least 10 more days

Moses Moody

Out

The Warriors have listed Moody as OUT for Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Rockets.

Kristaps Porziņģis

Out

The Warriors have listed Porzingis as OUT for Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Rockets.

Will Richard

Out

The Warriors have listed Richard as OUT for Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Rockets.

Seth Curry

Out

The Warriors have listed Curry as OUT for Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Rockets.

Gary Payton II

Questionable

The Warriors have listed Payton II as Questionable for Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Rockets.

Rockets INJURIES

Amen Thompson

Questionable

The Rockets have listed Thompson as Questionable for Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Warriors.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Questionable

The Rockets have listed Smith Jr. as Questionable for Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Warriors.

Alperen Sengun

Questionable

The Rockets have listed Sengun as Questionable for Thursday's (Mar. 5) game against the Warriors.

Steven Adams

Out For Season

The Rockets said on Wednesday (Jan. 28) that Adams underwent season-ending ankle surgery.

Jae'Sean Tate

Out

The Rockets reported on Monday (Feb. 23) that Tate will miss at least 2 weeks.

Fred VanVleet

Out For Season

The Rockets said on Monday (Sept. 22) that VanVleet suffered a torn ACL and may be out for the entire 2025-26 campaign, per Shams Charania of ESPN.

LATEST PLAYER PROPS

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LATEST PLAYER PROPS

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GSW

HOU

Mar 05 ·7:30 PM

Jabari Smith

Points

Yes 14.5

GSW

HOU

Mar 05 ·7:30 PM

Alperen Sengun

Points

Yes 19.5

GSW

HOU

Mar 05 ·7:30 PM

Kevin Durant

Points

Yes 24.5

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the latest odds and spread for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets?

The Houston Rockets are favored by 9.5 points (-9.5), while the Golden State Warriors are underdogs +9.5 points. The moneyline is Golden State Warriors +317 and Houston Rockets -335. The total is set at 214.5 points.

Who is projected to win Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets, and what are the win probabilities?

The model projects the Houston Rockets to win by 8.0 points. Win probability is 73% for the Houston Rockets and 27% for the Golden State Warriors.

What is the injury report for the Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets?

The latest injury report shows Jimmy Butler III (Out For Season – knee), Stephen Curry (Out – knee), Moses Moody (Out – wrist), Kristaps Porziņģis (Out – illness), Will Richard (Out – ankle), Seth Curry (Out – back), Gary Payton II (Questionable – ankle) for the Golden State Warriors, while Amen Thompson (Questionable – ankle), Jabari Smith Jr. (Questionable – ankle), Alperen Sengun (Questionable – illness), Steven Adams (Out For Season – ankle), Jae'Sean Tate (Out – knee), Fred VanVleet (Out For Season – acl) are listed for the Houston Rockets.

What are the best bets for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets (spread, moneyline, total)

The SportsGrid model's top game pick is Warriors +9.5. The projected margin supports this pick.

What are the top player prop picks for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets?

Top player props include Jabari Smith Over 14.5 Points, Alperen Sengun Over 19.5 Points, Kevin Durant Over 24.5 Points. These are highlighted as strong value plays by the SportsGrid model.