Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Game Preview: Live NBA Prediction, Odds & Picks

🟢Last updated Mar 12, 2026 at 3:38 PM EST•Next update in: 4 minutes from now

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies preview (Mar 12). Updated every 15 minutes with Kalshi odds & Santi Aldama's status (Out - Knee).

Today's Data Snapshot

Today's Data Snapshot
Market Source:	Kalshi Live Odds
Injury Impact:	Santi Aldama (Out - Knee)
Data Freshness:	10m ago (3:38 PM EST)

Dallas Mavericks

21-44

Mar 128:00 PM

KFAA

Memphis Grizzlies

23-41

Memphis Grizzlies

23-41

GAME PREDICTIONS

Insights provided by the SportsGrid betting model

PREDICTED GAME OUTCOME

Mavericks win by

4.0 Pts

CHANCE TO WIN

62%

38%

Model Picks

Picks CURRENTLY Unavailable

Insights provided by the SportsGrid betting model

LATEST INJURY STATUS

Mavericks INJURIES

Klay Thompson

Doubtful

The Mavericks listed Thompson as Doubtful for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Grizzlies.

Dereck Lively II

Out For Season

The Mavericks announced on Sunday (Dec. 21) that Lively II has successfully underwent foot surgery.

Kyrie Irving

Out For Season

The Mavericks said on Wednesday (Feb. 18) that Irving is OUT for the season, per ESPN's Shams Charania.

Grizzlies INJURIES

Santi Aldama

Out

The Grizzlies have listed Aldama as Out for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Mavericks.

Ja Morant

Out

The Grizzlies announced Thursday (Mar. 5) that Morant is still experiencing discomfort in his left elbow and will be reevaluated by medical staff in two weeks.

Zach Edey

Out For Season

The Grizzlies said that Edey will miss the remainder of the season.

Cedric Coward

Doubtful

The Grizzlies have listed Coward as Doubtful for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Mavericks.

Cam Spencer

Questionable

The Grizzlies have listed Spencer as Questionable for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Mavericks.

Ty Jerome

Doubtful

The Grizzlies have listed Jerome as Doubtful for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Mavericks.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Out For Season

The Grizzlies announced Thursday that Caldwell-Pope underwent surgery to address the misalignment of his right pinky finger and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 campaign.

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Out

The Grizzlies have listed Pippen Jr. as Out for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Mavericks.

Walter Clayton Jr.

Doubtful

The Grizzlies have listed Clayton Jr. as Doubtful for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Mavericks.

Brandon Clarke

Out

The Grizzlies said Brandon Clarke (calf) to miss at least 2 more weeks.

Taj Gibson

Doubtful

The Grizzlies have listed Gibson as Doubtful for Thursday's (Mar. 12) game against the Mavericks.

LATEST PLAYER PROPS

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Picks CURRENTLY Unavailable

We're in the process of calculating our picks.

They’ll be available soon.

LATEST PLAYER PROPS

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is projected to win Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies, and what are the win probabilities?

The model projects the Dallas Mavericks to win by 4.0 points. Win probability is 62% for the Dallas Mavericks and 38% for the Memphis Grizzlies.

What is the injury report for the Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies?

The latest injury report shows Klay Thompson (Doubtful – rest), Dereck Lively II (Out For Season – foot), Kyrie Irving (Out For Season – knee) for the Dallas Mavericks, while Santi Aldama (Out – knee), Ja Morant (Out – elbow), Zach Edey (Out For Season – ankle), Cedric Coward (Doubtful – knee), Cam Spencer (Questionable – back), Ty Jerome (Doubtful – calf), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Out For Season – finger), Scotty Pippen Jr. (Out – toe), Walter Clayton Jr. (Doubtful – ankle), Brandon Clarke (Out – calf), Taj Gibson (Doubtful – reconditioning) are listed for the Memphis Grizzlies.